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Reims – Bastia. Mark O’Haire’s prediction (VIDEO)
Last week we highlighted the black and white trends that follow Bastia from season-to-season . The Corsicans are experts at their Stade Armand Cesar home but close to useless when forced to travel away.
As predicted, François Ciccolini’s side bagged their 36th success in 70 Ligue 1 matches on their island home when swiping rock-bottom Troyes aside. But now the Turchini must leave their home comforts behind and take to the road once more.
Bastia have lost 40/68 (59%) of away fixtures since their promotion back to the top-flight and in 2015/16 alone they’ve returned W0-D4-L8 from their road trips, failing to even score in seven of those 12 encounters.
The visitors have kept just a solitary clean sheet on their travels and their 28% share of the total shots-on-target in their away games is comfortably the division’s worst. It’s bleak.
Hosts Reims may have only bagged W1-D4-L4 from their last nine on home soil but they’re still well worth investing in at 1.86.
Why? Well Olivier Guégan’s men have returned back-to-back victories for the first time since August, lifting them outside the bottom-three and breathing new life into their season. Those victories came against the season’s shooting stars Angers as well as high-flying Caen.
The latter put an end to a 19-game run without a clean sheet, stretching back all the way to September. How? Well, a switch from a 4-2-3-1 formation to 5-3-2, which has also manifested itself as a 3-5-2, has paved the way for the upturn.
The new Reims principles are simple; strength in numbers at the back, coupled with width to create going forward. And so the hosts now have a fantastic opportunity to clinch a third consecutive triumph on Saturday night and climb above Bastia in the table whilst doing so.
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this rate is unlikely to pass
Hi! Why do you think so?