FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction and Betting Tips

20:00, Dec 07 2021
FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid prediction for Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League clash Estádio do Dragão in Porto. Second-placed Porto in Group B host Atletico Madrid who are fourth in the group on matchday six. This is a crunch game for both teams as they battle to qualify for the next round. You can follow our free preview prediction and betting tips on this page.

FC Porto will have to hold on to at least a point

Tuesday’s game is the very definition of an early knockout clash as Porto fight to keep on playing in Europe come February. In fact, just one point separates the two teams, with Porto on five and Atletico with four. Hence any loss of points by the Dragons on Tuesday and Porto will require a Liverpool result in their favor against Milan. Moreover, if the hosts lose, they might even exit Europe altogether.

On the positive side, since 2016/17 Porto won their final group stage home game of a UEFA competition on all five occasions. In addition, three of those times the Dragons needed a win or a draw to progress to the next round. Coach Sergio Conceicao needs a much better performance from his attackers though as they scored just three goals in five games. 

Atletico Madrid in a do or die situation

Certainly, this will be Atletico Madrid’s most important match of the season to date. To explain, the Colchoneros are fourth with four points and if they lose here, they need to hope Liverpool will beat Milan by at least two goals. Atletico’s recent form though is not encouraging as Diego Simeone’s team lost their last three matches in the UCL. 

To add further to Atleti’s worries, they lost in the last five of ten UEFA trips to Portugal. Moreover, Diego Simeone’s team uncharacteristically let in six goals in those three UCL defeats and two against Mallorca in La Liga last weekend. Hence, the Argentine needs to find solutions for his vulnerable defense in this crucial game. 

FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

As we mentioned in the preview, Porto or Atletico Madrid could be out of Europe after this match. Also, they could both qualify if Liverpool beats Milan by two goals and they draw. Surely, Atletico’s situation is more serious as they are fourth. So they need to take matters into their own hands and go for the win.

Due to this unpredictable situation, the bookies are offering very high odds for both teams to win. As for the goals scored market, the bookmakers are tending slightly for a low-scoring game. To point out, Porto’s four of the five games in the group stages saw two or fewer goals.

Also, Atletico’s last two games in the UCL saw under 2.5 goals. Moreover, the tension in this game will be high with both Conceicao and Simeone focusing on not losing and taking advantage of a mistake by their opponents. Hence, that in turn will minimize the goal chances.

To sum up, it will definitely be an intriguing game between these two big clubs. We will go with the bookies in predicting a low-scoring game but we will raise the chances by betting on under 4.5 goals. However, in order to have better odds, we will combine it with a double chance outcome.

FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips

Draw or Atletico Madrid win and under 4.5 goals 1.56 at Vbet

Both teams to score 1.84 at Vbet

Single: Won
Champions League
20:00/7 dec
FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid
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Single: Won
Champions League
20:00/7 dec
FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid
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