Colchester United – Shrewsbury Town. Mark O’Haire’s prediction (VIDEO)

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I’m still unwilling to write Colchester off in their battle for League One survival. Sure, they’re 10 points from safety and winless in 18 league fixtures (W0-D3-L15) – a club record that equals their most barren run of results in 1988-89 – but they’ve been very competitive in the majority of their matches, especially under Kevin Keen and at their Community Stadium home (W3-D6-L7).

Only Peterborough, Coventry and Walsall have fired in more efforts on-target and their 51.60% shots-on-target ratio figure – their share of the total shots-on-target in Colchester games – ranks them 14 in League One. Even last weekend, ColU drew the shot count 11-11 with Bury despite playing with 10 men for almost an hour. They lost 5-2.

But Keen’s men are rock-bottom because they can’t keep the goals out. Colchester have shipped an eye-watering 78 in their 32 league outings – that’s the worst return from the top four tiers at this stage of a season since 1997/98 – and a huge 51.66% of the shots-on-target they’re facing are resulting in goals. Gulp.

So goals look the best bet when Shrewsbury arrive with Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score available to support at 1.91.

Colchester have seen 10/16 (63%) of their Community Stadium league outings in 2015/16 deliver over 2.5 goals winners with 12/16 (75%) proving profitable for both teams to score backers. The hosts haven’t kept their sheets clean in 22 fixtures, including each of their last 11 as hosts.

Shrewsbury have only been silenced in four of their 16 away trips since promotion with 11/16 (69%) of those matches featuring both teams scoring. Nine of their road trips have produced at least three goals but eight of those goal-heavy games came in their most recent 12 and the visitors have failed to record a clean sheet since 24th October.

Shrewsbury were 4-2 winners when the two teams locked horns in October and I reckon this weekend’s meeting could again produce the goods in the goals department.

Single: Lost

English League 1

15:00/27 feb

Colchester United - Shrewsbury Town

Bet: Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score

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