Burnley v Leicester Betting Tips: Home is where the heart is for The Clarets

19:45/Jan 31

Football writer Thomas Giles previews the upcoming Premier League match between Burnley and Leicester City.

Two teams in the bottom half of the table take each other on here with one going above and beyond expectations whilst the other is drastically under-performing.

Burnley are of course the team who overachieving as they currently sit in 13th, a massive 10 points above the relegation zone – in which they were expected to be entrenched. They recovered from their dramatic last minute loss against title chasers Arsenal to beat Championship strugglers Bristol City in the FA Cup at the weekend in comfortable fashion which means they have now won three of their last four matches, losing just once in their last five in all competitions.

Sean Dyche is certainly one of the more underrated English managers out there and this is due to the way he sets up his teams to be defensively sound and competitive, no matter who they are playing against. Burnley’s defensive record is certainly one to be admired having just conceded just 33 goals in 22 games – the second best statistic of the bottom eight. Furthermore, they have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches.

Whilst it’s great having a strong back-line, Burnley have also shown that they can be potent up front (at least at home anyway) and have registered on the scoreboard in all but one of their last seven games.

Until the Clarets were beaten by Arsenal at the Emirates in their last Premier League outing, they had the third best home record in the Premier League. Although the Gunners have now overtaken them in those standings, Burnley do still have the fourth best home record in the league having taken 25 points from 12 games. Furthermore, they have won their last six matches at Turf Moor in all competitions.

After winning the Premier League title in such emphatic style last season, Leicester City are down in 15th place and just five points ahead of the relegation zone. Last Friday’s FA Cup tie against local rivals Derby County live on terrestrial TV was hardly the cup fixture they needed to distract themselves from their league troubles and they had to rely on a lat header from captain Wes Morgan to salvage a draw and earn a replay.

Particularly in the second half of their title-winning campaign, defensive solidity was what the Foxes based their game on but it now seems that that has gone out the window with Claudio Ranieri’s side having conceded 37 in just 22 league matches (an average of 1.68 goals per game), whilst they have not kept a clean sheet in their last four matches.

In the early part of last season, Leicester had the attacking force to compensate for their defensive frailties but now even that is becoming a problem with main striker Jamie Vardy failing to find the back in any of his last five games and last year’s PFA Player of the Year Riyad Mahrez looking decidedly off-colour. This has all accumulated into the rather alarming stat that Leicester have failed to score in their last three Premier League matches.

Another problem with Leicester going into this match is their dreadful away record. The Foxes won 11 games on the road last season but are yet to record a league victory away from the King Power Stadium this time around, drawing just three times in 11 attempts.

Given Burnley’s incredible home form it really is hard to see anything other than a home win here, especially considering just how disappointing Leicester have been this season. Odds of 2/1 are far too big and thus worth taking advantage of. The Clarets are a side who are full of desire at the moment, something that Leicester are desperately lacking.

See more Premier League tips here.

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Burnley v Leicester City
31.01.2017 19:45 BST
Premier League
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