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Bayern Munich vs Paris Saint Germain: Prediction and Betting Tips

19:00, Apr 07 2021
Bayern Munich vs Paris Saint Germain prediction for Wednesday’s Champions League quarter-final clash at Allianz Arena in Munich. Titleholders Bayern Munich host last year’s finalists Paris SG. Read along for our free prediction and betting tips.

Bayern Munich have to rely on other attackers than Lewandowski

Bayern have prepared for this match by beating their closest chasers in the Bundesliga RB Leipzig 1-0 at the weekend and extended their lead at the top of the table to seven points. With that win, coach Hansi Flick will have all his focus on this match as the Germans aim to win this season’s Champions League for the second time running and the sixth time overall.

By beating Lazio 2-1 in their last UCL match, Bayern equaled their unbeaten record of 19 matches in the Champions League and their 150th win in the competition. Hansi Flick knows this won’t be an easy match as he will miss his top scorer Robert Lewandowski due to a knee injury.

Flick will rely on Leon Goretzka to fill the gap Lewandowski has left. The German midfield man scored the winner against Leipzig and has now scored in three of the last matches. With Thomas Muller, Serge Gnabry, and Kingsley Coman all available to play, the Bavarians have no worries in front of the goal.

Paris Saint Germain looking to maintain their away form

Contrary to their opponents, PSG have lost their top-of-the-table clash in the French Ligue 1 losing to Liile 1-0 in Paris and trailing to the new leaders by three points. Their record of progressing in just two of their previous six quarter-finals in the UCL will not boost their confidence going into this match.

Mauricio Pochettino will be very happy with his team’s away form as they have seven straight wins among them their 4-1 Barcelona thrashing, and the Portuguese will hope to take this form to Munich as the French aim to avenge their defeat in the final of the UCL last season.

PSG will be hoping to have a solid defense and counter-attack in Munich. The French side used that style in Barcelona and were very successful by using Mbappe’s speed in the counters. Pochettino will be without two important defensive midfielders Veratti and Paredes, however, Neymar is back and will start the game.

Key Stats

  • Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 19 champions league matches
  • Bayern Munich have scored in all four home matches 
  • Bayern Munich have two clean sheets in the UCL this season
  • 93% of Bayern’s home matches have seen over 2.5 goals
  • PSG have won their last two away matches in the UCL this season
  • PSG have an average of 2.13 goals per game in the UCL away games this season
  • 53% of PSG away games have seen over 2.5 goals

Bayern Munich vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

It will a repeat of last year’s final of the Champions League. Bayern won on that occasion and secured their sixth title. The absence of Lewandowski will definitely restrict Bayern’s attacking power. As we can see from the stats, the matches of both these teams have seen many goals and we think this match could be the same.

PSG have just two clean sheets in the Champions League this season and also haven’t been able to prevent their opponents from scoring in Ligue 1 in their last three matches.

We will back over 2.5 goals for this match.

Bayern Munich vs Paris Saint Germain Betting Tips

Over 2.5 Total Match Goals 1.53 or 8/15 at William Hill

Under 3.5 Total Match Goals 1.60 or 6/10 at William Hill

 

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19:00/7 apr
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