What I find interesting is that both these teams have pretty much focused on Europe at the expense of the league of late. That to me suggests more specific preparation and a somewhat tighter defense.
The bookies’ prices reflect this, with the unders price being very short. While it’s true that Villarreal are a stingy side, I dont think the same applies to Liverpool who will also have Sakho missing. For that reason, I like over 2.5 goals at 2.2 which is a pretty big price.