Belgium went from being out-thought and outplayed by Italy to romping past Ireland. It’s fairly obvious they are one of the most talented sides in the competition and the only thing that can stop them is when Wilmots is outsmarted. Sweden did have Italy in knots in the second match and while Erik Hamren isn’t a tactical genius, he can put out a well-organized side. Still, if Belgium score first, things will open up in what could be Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s last hurrah. For that reason and to hedge for Zlatan’s scoring, I’m going with over 2.5 goals at 2.10.