AS Roma are having a bit of a mini-revival under Spalletti and they have an extra 24 hours to prepare for this game (whereas Real Madrid obviously had to travel). Madrid’s defence looked poor against Bilbao at the weekend and AS Roma’s defence has been haphazard all year but there’s no value in taking the over 2.5. AS Roma and the draw at 1.85 seems better, particularly when you consider that this is Zidane’s first European game as Madrid manager and they’ve won just once on the road since early December.