I find this game hard to read. United occasionally show timid signs of progress, only to slip back again. City remain hit-or-miss and the injuries at the back create a whole new set of uncertainties.
Plus, it’s a derby and there’s plenty of stake. If United lose this, they could be seven points out of fourth place with eight games to go and that’s not a good place. As for City, losing could mean dropping out of the top four.
I think fear governs this which is why I’d back under 2.5 goals at 1.91.