Juventus are the underdogs at home which seems excessive to me. Yes, Giorgio Chiellini is out, but they haven’t actually lost at home since opening day. What’s more, Bayern have a number of absentees at the back: from Javi Martinez to Mehdi Benatia to Holger Badstuber and above all, Jerome Boateng. And while they’ve rattled off a string of great results, they haven’t actually looked that devastating since the break. Backing Juventus at 2.80 with William Hill is a decent price.