England are huge favorites here, it’s the usual “England effect”. And so your first instinct is to go the other way. That Dele Alli-Wayne Rooney partnership remains unconvincing in my opinion against a side which congests the midfield as Wales are likely to do. Plus there’s the derby atmosphere to factor in. And the fact that you can picture Roy Hodgson designing some kind of elaborate plan to stop Gareth Bale, which is unlikely to work, if only because England players don’t do well when they’re given too much instruciton. I’m thinking Wales +1 on the handicap at a healthy 11/8.
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