It’s last chance saloon for York and their survival prospects this weekend.
The Minstermen have taken just a point from a possible 21 to slide nine points away from safety. Jackie McNamara knows, three points against Crawley is pivotal to any lingering hopes of survival.
But York are unlikely to bridge the gap whilst shipping goals left, right and centre. The hosts have recorded just four shutouts in 37 in 2015/16 and three of those arrived in their first six fixtures.
Crawley have steadied the ship of late (W2-D2-L0) to consolidate their position in the lower reaches of League Two. And although Mark Yates’ men have delivered three clean sheets in those four fixtures, I’m still keen to venture into the goals markets.
Why? Well, the offer of taking Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score at 2.40 is just too good to turndown and represents huge value.
Between them, York and Crawley have played 74 league fixtures this term and accumulatively they’ve notched in 53/74 (72%) of those matches. The duo have recorded just 14/74 (19%) clean sheets and that’s led to 45/72 (61%) winning Over 2.5 Goals selections.
If we drill down to respective home and away records, York and Crawley have scored in 31/36 (86%) outings, shutting out their opposition in only 6/36 (17%) – 27/36 (75%) of those matches featured successful Over 2.5 Goals bets.
Odds of 2.40 imply just a 42% chance of success but with the above trends standing out, getting goals onside appears the best way forward.