Mark’s tip (in full here):
Max Allegri’s men have proven unbeatable and invincible on domestic shores since October and with Gigi Buffon breaking clean sheet records, the Bianconeri have shipped just 16 goals across the campaign – comfortably the lowest tally in the division. Juventus have W13-D1-L0 in Serie A this calendar year by an aggregate score of 28-2. Saturday night’s visitors to the San Siro have kept their sheets clean in 11 of their past 12 league dates and scored at least twice in 10 of their previous 11 on the road.
AC Milan marked the sad passing of club legend Cesare Maldini with a dreadful 2-1 defeat in Bergamo against Atalanta, a result that has only escalated rumours that head coach Sinisa Mihajlovic will be sacked this summer. AC Milan haven’t enjoyed their encounters with Juventus in recent years and appear to be ailing towards the campaign’s conclusion. With Juve delivering knockout blows in 10 of their last 11 road trips, I’ll take the Old Lady at 2.10 to win with the 3.60 also standing out on an away success alongside Under 2.5 Goals.
WhoScored tip:
Given the competitive nature of this battle we begrudgingly admit that both of Mark’s tips this week look very wise indeed. With Juventus up against a AC Milan side that have picked up just two points in their last four matches, missing the chance to make ground on fierce rivals Inter in the process, the Rossoneri find themselves at a low ebb.
By comparison Juventus have won a massive 20 matches in an unbeaten league run of 21 games and are sprinting to the Serie A title once more. The Old Lady have won each of the last 6 league games against AC Milan, with the gap in quality between the sides stark in recent years, while three of their last four victories in this fixture have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
While odds on a home win at 3.80 for a side of AC Milan’s stature are high, the form of the two sides dictates that they aren’t tempting at all. Instead I’m also looking into markets to back a victory for the away side, first of all tipping Juventus to lead at both half time and full time. That has been the case in each of Allegri’s side’s last 4 league matches, and indeed 7 of their last 9 on the road in Serie A, with a repeat at a lofty 3.40 with William Hill.
Our second bet is far more conservative but still has very tempting odds given the sensational form of the visitors. With 1.61 on the Old Lady to win either half, having done so 20 times in their last 21 league games, that should be a sure thing against a Milan side far from the peak of their powers by comparison.