Stan Wawrinka, who is ending his career at the end of the current campaign, decided to visit Bastad for the first time. Stan Wawrinka and Pablo Carreno Busta will face each other in the 1/16 finals of the Swedish Open. Wawrinka has left Pablo out of contention in every meeting in the past, but it looks like it’s his turn to lose. The game will start on July 11 at 15:30 UK time.
18+ | Commercial Content | T&Cs apply | Begambleaware.org | Gamblingtherapy.org
Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction One – Handicap (-2.5) for Carreno Busta – 1.60.
Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction Two – Total Games Over 20.5 – 1.66.
Carreno Busta has not been playing much of late. Apparently, Pablo is troubled by some kind of injury. Pablo withdrew from his last match against Dusan Lajovic at Wimbledon due to health problems.
Everything will depend on the physical condition of the Wawrinka. However, there is a suspicion that he might not have the strength for the whole match again.
Carreno Busta is the favourite, but we think he will have a tough match. Wawrinka seems to have recovered from his foot injury. So it’s unlikely Stan will be easy prey for Carreno Busta in the upcoming match.
Wawrinka received a wild card from the organisers of the Swedish Open.
Stan has played nine matches since his injury, in which he has won only three.
At Wimbledon, Stan immediately lost to Jannik Sinner (5-7, 6-4, 3-6, 2-6), who stopped Carlos Alcaraz shortly after their meeting and narrowly defeated Novak Djokovic.
Wawrinka’s main success so far this year has been reaching the third round of the Masters in Rome.
Wawrinka has lost six times in his last eight top-20 matches.
Carreno Busta also failed at Wimbledon, failing to make the first round.
True, he was really unlucky. He could not finish the match against Dušan Lajović 96-3, 4-6, walkover) because of injury.
Pablo’s real letdown was his first-round exit at Roland Garros. Here he sensationally lost to Gilles Simon (4-6, 4-6, 6-4, 6-1, 4-6).
Carreno Busta also failed to win a single match in Madrid and Lyon and made it to the second round in Rome.
It is true that there have been disappointments as well as successes in the spring. Carreno Busta reached the final in Barcelona and the third round at the Masters in Monte Carlo.
Carreno Busta reached the quarter-finals at Bastad twice – in the 2014 and 2018 seasons.
Carreno Busta has celebrated just two wins in his last five matches against lower-ranked opponents.
In 3 of the last 5 Carreno-Busta matches, less than 9.5 games have been played in the first set. We offer to bet on “1st Set Games – Under 9.5” with the odds of 1.77.
Wawrinka has played four tie-breaks in his last five matches. We offer to bet on “Tie-Break – Yes” with the odds of 2.20.
Type of Court – Clay
Speed of Court – 4/10
Wawrinka’s Rating – 267
Stan Wawrinka Wins/Losses in 2022 – 3/7
Carreno Busta’s Rating – 20
Pablo Carreno Busta Wins/Losses in 2022 – 18/15
Wawrinka has crossed paths with Carreno Busta twice on clay and once on hard. He has recorded 3 wins.
The match will be played at Center Court, Bastad Tennis Stadium, Bastad, Sweden.
We recommend checking out the odds for Swedish Open: Wawrinka vs Carreno Busta at Sportsbet.io and VBet.