These teams will play three head-to-heads over the next eight days. They will play a league match between the two legs in Copa del Rey. There is no reason for the teams to go all in today. That’s why I see value in backing total under 2.5 goals here. Offensive potential of Celta is seriously damaged by Nolito’s injury. Sevilla have been rather good defensively lately. Even though they let Levante score and create some opportunities when the score was 2-1, Emery has worked on the mistakes and Sevilla will play more confidently this time.
Sevilla are simply stronger. They have won their last 11 home games and have a good chance to win again. They are used to important games like these semifinals and home turf will help them.