Sebastian Baez and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will face each other in the 1/8 finals of the Swedish Open. The game will start on July 14 at 14:30 UK time.
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Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction One – Handicap (+2) for Davidovich Fokina – 1.70.
Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction Two – Total Games Over 21 – 1.65.
Davidovich Fokina looks like the preferred option in this pairing. He is slightly more experienced than Baez. This season Alejandro, recall, beat even Novak Djokovic. So it will be him who will make the quarter-finals in Bastad.
The opponents are at the same level at the moment. We think we’re in for a tight fight, which is likely to last for three sets.
Baez’s first opponent was to be Artur Rinderknech but he withdrew at the last minute. Baez played against the experienced Fabio Fognini, who initially failed to qualify, but made it into the main draw as a lucky loser.
Sebastian needed only two sets to beat Fognini (6-3, 6-4). Baez played well on the receiving end and converted five break points.
Baez played well at several clay tournaments in the first half of the season, moving up to 34th in the rankings. There is no doubt that he will be in the top 30 soon.
A few months ago, he took the title in Estoril, Portugal. In the deciding match, he defeated American Frances Tiafoe (6-3, 6-2).
Sebastian also reached the final in Santiago in late February. In the final, he lost to Pedro Martinez (6-4, 3-6, 4-6).
At Roland Garros, Baez lost in the second round to Alexander Zverev (6-2, 6-4, 1-6, 2-6, 5-7). However, it was an epic match in which Sebastian led 2-0 in sets and failed to capitalise on a match ball.
Baez has recorded eight wins in his last ten meetings against lower-ranked opponents.
Davidovich Fokina defeated Joao Sousa (6-4, 6-2) in the first round. Like Baez, two sets were enough for him.
Remarkably, Alejandro did not give up a single game on his serve, although his opponent had four break points.
Alejandro’s main success so far has been reaching the Masters’ final in Monte Carlo. He defeated Novak Djokovic (6-3, 6-7, 6-1) in the second round before losing to Stefanos Tsitsipas (3-6, 6-7) in the final match.
However, Davidovich Fokina has had less success in other clay tournaments, winning a maximum of one round.
Davidovich Fokina has lost three times in his last five second-round matches.
In 3 of Davidovic Fokina’s last 5 matches, less than 9.5 games have been played in the first set. We offer to bet on “1st Set Games – Under 9.5” with odds of 1.93.
Type of Court – Clay
Speed of Court – 4/10
Baez’s Rating – 34
Sebastian Baez Wins/Losses in 2022 – 31/20
Davidovich Fokina’s Rating – 36
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wins/Losses in 2022 – 16/17
Sebastian and Alejandro will play their first head-to-head match.
The match will be played at Center Court, Bastad Tennis Stadium, Bastad, Sweden.
We recommend checking out the odds for Swedish Open: Baez vs Davidovich Fokina at Sportsbet.io and VBet.