Real Madrid struggled to win against Atletico Madrid in all Spanish tournaments for two years. It was four games in La Liga, two games in Copa led Rey and two games in Supercopa. No wins for Real Madrid in all of them. They were only successful against Atletico in the Champions League – in the quarterfinal one year ago and in the final match two years ago.
With all this we can see that Atletico Madrid are higher in the table. They are creating an almost perfect defense – only 11 conceded goals in 25 games. And they have a lot of wins to nil in other tournaments. It’s hard to break their defense even for Real Madrid. Furthermore, Real Madrid now are weakened with injuries to flank players – Marcelo and Gareth Bale. So I expect a draw here. A draw with no goals or with a few goals – 0:0 or 1:1. The odds at 4.65 are extremely decent.
Yes, we have arguments for Real Madrid to win. They are good at home under Zidane, especially the first 25 minutes. But there were no equal opponents at Santiago Bernabeu yet. And Real had a week to prepare for this game, while Atletico Madrid were playing in the Champions League. That’s why Los Colchoneros can’t tumble over themselves. But they can hope for a draw here. Their defense can make it possible.