Matteo Berrettini vs Oscar Otte: Prediction vs Betting Tips

Unconvincing Matteo Berrettini still looking for his best form

An unconvincing performance by Matteo Berrettini saw him needing five sets to overcome Ilya Ivashka in the third round. Recently the Italian showed some shaky form despite winning his first three matches in the US Open.

Notably, 64 unforced errors by Berrettini could be a reason for his defeat. However, the sixth seed made that up with his first serve and number of winners. Berretini’s lack of match practice was evident in his matches.

In fact, the 25-year-old played just two matches after his appearance in the final of the Wimbledon. The world number eight needs to improve his second serve and decrease his unforced errors if he wants to move on in this tournament.

Berrettini key Stats

• Berrettini made on average 67.3 winners per match at the US Open 2021
• The Italian won 53% of the points on his second serve
• Two is the number of times Berrettini lost his serve on average per match

Oscar Otte in his first-ever fourth-round Grand Slam appearance

Oscar Otte is the world’s 144th ranked player and is appearing in his first-ever Grand Slam fourth-round match. Also, the German qualified to the main draws of the French Open and Wimbledon. 

The 28-year-old played most of his career in challenger tournaments, mainly. Moreover, Otte played just six matches in Grand Slam tournaments including his three matches at the US Open.

Interestingly, Otte eliminated two Italians en route to his clash with Berrettini. During his third-round match against Seppi, the German relied on his first serve which didn’t let him down. However, Otte needs to find a better performance regarding his returns of his opponent’s serve.

Otte Key Stats

• Otte won on average 47% of the points on his second serve
• The German lost his serve on average 2.8 times in the US Open
• 41% is the average number of the breakpoints Otte won in the US Open

Matteo Berrettini vs Oscar Otte Prediction 

In matches like these where a qualifier plays a top player, experience plays a big part. Despite the fact that Berrettini is younger than his opponent, he definitely has the edge in that area.

Thus we think Berrettini, with some adjustments to his game, will pass this test. Still, Otte has to ask as many questions as possible to trouble the Italian who looks impatient in the long rallies.

Berrettinin’s game is obvious, big first serve and follow it with a winner or dominate the rally following it. As a result, Otte needs to find big returns to keep the rally going as long as possible.

At Vbet, we have an interesting bet for this match, the total number of breaks. With the average of both players standing at two and 2.8, we will go with under 5.5 breaks in this match.

Matteo Berrettini vs Oscar Otte Betting Tips

Under 5.5 Breaks 1.85 at Vbet

Over 33 Games 1.68 at Vbet