We predicted the match of the second round of the men’s part of the tournament in Miami. We believe that Marton Fucovich will at least not yield to his rival Carlos Alcaraz Garfie regarding the number of completed aces.
Let’s see the statistics of today’s opponents. We take only open hard matches played in the last year. Marton Fucovich averages 0.25 aces per game and concedes 0.26 from his opponents. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia averages 0.29 aces per game and concedes from his opponents with a frequency of 0.33 per game. I think that the difference of one hundredth in the game on his services can be reduced to a statistical error, but in the game at the reception, things are a little better for the Hungarian tennis player.
When choosing this bet, the result of the face-to-face meeting was decisive for me. During their careers, tennis players only once opposed each other on the court. It happened in August 2021. The match just took place in America on open hard. Then, following the results of three sets, Fucovich confidently won on aces with a 7-0.
So betting on a zero handicap in favor of the Hungarian looks reasonable.