Can Leeds United make it three wins in a row under new boss, Jesse Marsch? Or will Southampton spoil the Yorkshiremen’s resurgence? Read our free predictions and betting picks for the game here.
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Bookmaker Ratings prediction one: Full-Time Result – Leeds United – 2.45
Bookmaker Ratings prediction two: Both teams to score – Yes – 1.53
Bookmaker Ratings prediction three: Leeds to win and both teams to score – 4.33
⚽ Rodrigo Moreno will be looking to continue his goal-scoring run for @LUFC this weekend. ? #LUFC #MOT pic.twitter.com/WNT8BsK7YV
— Leeds United StatZone (@lufcsz)
Leeds to win
After losing six straight games, Leeds have won two in a row including a thrilling comeback victory away to Wolves. Over six games Leeds are on slightly worse form than Southampton, but the form book can be thrown out of the window due to improvements made under new manager, Jesse Marsch.
Southampton have lost three in a row and are one of the league’s worst performing away sides.
Both teams to score – Yes
Leeds holds the worst defensive record in the league with 67 goals conceded and haven’t kept a clean sheet since November.
Southampton have conceded a whopping 31 goals in 14 away matches. Only Leeds and Norwich City have worst away defensive records.
Leeds to win and both teams to score
The two bets above have a very good chance of coming in. These can be combined at odds of 4.33.
Preliminary review and match prediction for Leeds United vs Southampton
Leeds will go into this match full of confidence after recording a late victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers before the international break.
After going 2-0 down, Wolves were reduced to ten men with Raul Jimenez’s sending off. It is easy to say that Leeds should come back with a one-man advantage but executing this isn’t always easy.
The manner of the execution of this will be pleasing for Marsch especially against a well organised side such as Wolves, that alongside the previous victory over Norwich will give Marsch the confidence to press on and ease the pressure of potential relegation.
Leeds isn’t quite out of the relegation fight yet but a couple more wins starting on Saturday could be enough.
That #FridayFeeling when the #PL returns tomorrow ? pic.twitter.com/yvxjCOJW9H
— Southampton FC (@SouthamptonFC)
Southampton have lost their last three league matches by an aggregate of 2-8 and it seems their poor away form has carried over to St Mary’s with the last two of these matches being 2-1 defeats to Newcastle United and then Watford.
The Saints are in 11th place and don’t really have anything to fight for as being 13 points away from relegation they are surely safe and being 15 points away from European qualification, that is surely too big a mountain to climb.
If Southampton have checked out and are going through the motions now, a hungry Leeds side needing to stave off relegation will capitalise.
Safe Bets
Over 2.5 goals in this match can be backed at 1.67. Leeds matches average over 2.5 goals 67% of the time and their matches average 3.37 goals per game (both league highs). Over 2.5 goals occurs in 55% of Southampton’s matches.
The 67% over 2.5 goals occurrence stays true when breaking this down into Leeds’ home matches only. For Southampton away from home the percentage goes up significantly to 79% which is a league high in away matches.
Leeds United vs Southampton Team News
Star striker Patrick Bamford’s horrendous luck with injuries sees him set to miss the rest of the season after coming off in Leeds’ win over Wolves. Goalkeeper, Illan Meslier also came off in that match but should be ok to remain between the sticks.
Kalvin Phillips and Liam Cooper could be set to play a part, both players have not played since December.
Southampton will continue to miss Alex McCarthy and Lyanco. Che Adams and Armando Broja should be set to resume their partnership upfront after changes were made before the international break.
Possible Starting Lineups
Leeds United: Meslier, Ayling, Llorente, Struijk, Dallas, Phillips, Forshaw, Raphinha, Rodrigo, Harrison, James
Southampton: Forster, Livramento, Bednarek, Salisu, Walker-Peters, S. Armstrong, Ward-Prowse, Romeu, Elyounoussi, Adams, Broja
Highlighted Player – Rodrigo
Rodrigo has got himself on the score sheet in both of Leeds’ recent wins and with Patrick Bamford suffering another spell on the sidelines, this could be the Spaniard’s time to shine.
Rodrigo can be backed at 2.7 to score anytime.
Most popular FAQ for Leeds United vs Southampton
Who won the last meeting between these clubs?
Southampton defeated Leeds 1-0 on 16 October 2021.
Where will this fixture be played?
This fixture will be played at Elland Road.
Which bookmaker has the best odds for this game?
We recommend checking out the odds at William Hill for Leeds United vs Southampton.
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