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Ecuador vs Brazil: Prediction Odds & Betting Tips, 27/01/22 Team News and Lineups

12:01, 25 January 2022
Sebouh Babikian
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Ecuador vs Brazil prediction for Thursday’s World Cup qualifier clash at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in Quito. Third-placed Ecuador host leaders Brazil in round 15 of the South America qualification for Qatar 2022. Ecuador are searching for a win to get a step closer to automatic qualification. Read on for our free prediction and betting tips.

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Top-3 Predictions for Ecuador vs Brazil

Bookmaker Ratings prediction one: Brazil Win – 2.25

Bookmaker Ratings prediction two: Under 2.5 Goals – 1.61

Bookmaker Ratings prediction three: Brazil 0 Goals Handicap – 1.61

Brazil Win 

Undefeated in 13 WCQ matches, Brazil have already qualified for the World Cup after collecting 35 points. The Selecao won five and drew two of their away matches in the Qatar 2022 WCQ and have not lost in Ecuador in their last three visits. 

Under 2.5 Goals

Ecuador’s last three matches saw under 2.5 goals and the same number of goals were scored in Brazil’s last two matches. Moreover, the Selecao’s last two trips ended in goalless draws against Argentina and Colombia. Also, Ecuador’s three of their last four home games saw fewer than 2.5 goals.

Brazil 0 Goals Handicap

There is a 25% chance that we will see a draw in this match which was the case in both teams’ last h2h in the Copa America. Brazil are playing to finish this campaign undefeated and will be content to get a draw here without exhausting themselves. With 0 goals handicap for Brazil, we will secure our bet against a draw.

? ¡Entrenamiento @smartfitecuador!

? Toda la actitud positiva y esfuerzo de nuestros jugadores en su activación de hoy en el gimnasio Smartfit de Casa de la Selección.#JuntosHacemosHistoria?? pic.twitter.com/zq6SpSVvCv

— La Tri ?? (@LaTri)

Preliminary review and match prediction for Ecuador vs Brazil

A surprise yet comfortable 2-0 victory over Chile in the last round, saw Ecuador improve on their points tally from their last qualification attempt after 14 rounds. Now back in Quito, La Tricolor are looking to defy the bookmakers once again as this qualification’s surprise team looks to get a step closer to Qatar 2022.

The main reason why Ecuador have accrued 70% of their points at home is Quito being 2734 meters above sea level and the visiting teams find it hard to get accustomed to playing there. In fact, coach Gustavo Alfaro’s home record (W5, D1, L1) is the second-best in the WCQ only to Brazil, suggesting they will put another fierce fight in this clash.

Despite qualifying for Qatar 2022 with still four games to play, one must be mistaken to think Brazil won’t play to win. Finishing the qualifiers unbeaten in its 18 match format for the first time is coach Tite and his team’s target. They’re on course to that and can extend their unbeaten h2h run to 12 games.

Since winning in Peru 4-2 in their first away game of the 2022 qualifications, Brazil have conceded just one goal across their following six qualifiers on the road. Even so, they’ve now played out back-to-back away goalless draws, though a return of six strikes across the last three away H2Hs suggests that Brazil may well end their drought in Quito.

Safe Bet

Ecuador will play to win this match and playing against Brazil will not overwhelm them. The “Tricolors” did draw with the Selecao in the last Copa America and a similar result here will help them in their quest to qualify for Qatar 2022. Considering all this, backing a combo bet of a draw or Brazil win and under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.61, seems a very safe bet.

Quick Rich

Considering Ecuador’s and Brazil’s recent games being low in scoring and the fact that Brazil won in two of their last three visits to Quito, we think the combo bet of a Brazil win and under 2.5 goals with odds of 3.90, has a high probability and may earn a quick profit backing it.

Headings: BR Team Tips
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