Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will play against Pablo Carreno Busta in the quarter-finals of the Swiss Indoors Basel. The match will start on October 28 at 15:30.
Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction #1 – Handicap (-3.5) for Alcaraz – 1.75.
Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction #2 – Total Games Under 23 – 1.70.
Alcaraz Garfia seems to be playing better than he did a fortnight ago in Astana. Carlos is improving from match to match and we believe that Carreno Busta is unlikely to be able to stop his compatriot. He failed to do so at the recent competition in Barcelona and is unlikely to do so in Basel.
The tennis players met this season as part of a competition in Barcelona. That match ended in two sets. We expect that the upcoming match will not go beyond two sets either.
Alcaraz had a tough match against Jack Draper (3-6, 6-2, 7-5) in the first round. Carlos played poorly in the first set, but then changed his game and eventually got a comeback.
In the second round, Carlos was much more confident. The world #1 defeated Botic van de Zandschulp (6-4, 6-2) with a convincing win.
Alcaraz was dominant in the second set, dropping only two games against Botic.
In general, Alcaraz has settled in on the Basel courts. That’s the main thing for him. In Astana, for example, he was completely unable to adapt to the slow surface, as a result of which he sensationally lost to David Goffin (5-7, 3-6).
Carlos Alcaraz has won five consecutive matches against his compatriots.
Carreno-Busta started the tournament with a resounding victory over Sebastian Baez (6-2, 6-1). Baez was not at all ready for such a game, taking only three games.
In the next match, Pablo had to work hard. He barely defeated Dominik Stricker (7-5, 6-7, 6-4).
Dominik took the second set on a tie-break, but in the deciding set, Carreno Busta managed to take a game on time on reception and won all the tie-breaks.
Since the US Open, Carreno-Busta was able to win more than one match for the first time. Before the tournament in Basel, he was not very successful in Sofia, Gijon and Naples.
In four of Carreno Busta’s last five hard-court matches, more than 21 games have been played.
Type of Court – Indoor Hard
Speed of Court – 8/10
Alcaraz’s Rating – 1
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Wins/Losses in 2022 – 54/11
Carreno Busta’s Rating – 15
Pablo Carreno Busta Wins/Losses in 2022 – 35/22
In 3 of the last 5 Carreno Busta’s matches, more than 9.5 games have been played in the first set. We offer to bet on “1st Set Games Over 9.5” with odds of 1.82.
Alcaraz leads with a score of 1-0 in the head-to-head encounters. The only time they met was at the Barcelona Open in April. In that match, Alcaraz defeated Carreno Busta (6-3, 6-2) in two sets.
The match will be played at Center Court, St. Jakobshalle, Basel, Switzerland.
We recommend checking out the odds for the 2022 Swiss Indoors Basel: Alcaraz vs Carreno Busta at 1xBet.