Aslan Karatsev and Hugo Gaston will face each other in the 1/8 finals of the Swedish Open. The game will start on July 13 at 14:30 UK time.
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Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction One – Handicap (+2) for Gaston – 1.75.
Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction Two – Total Games Over 22 – 1.77.
Karatsev was somehow unsure of his performance in the previous match. He was lucky that Sonego was far from his optimum game form too, so he overpowered Lorenzo. Against Gaston, it might not work. Hugo has beaten Aslan before.
Karatsev is far from his optimum playing conditions, but he is trying. Because of this, Aslan’s last four matches have been played in three sets.
Karatsev started the tournament with a class victory over Lorenzo Sonego (6-0, 2-6, 6-4).
Aslan immediately shocked Sonego, taking the first set (6-0). It was probably his best set in the last few months.
However, in the second set Karatsev, as it often happens, played noticeably worse and let Lorenzo win back. At the start of the decisive set, Aslan gave up his serve straight away but eventually responded with two breaks.
This success must add to Karatsev’s confidence, after all, he has a very difficult period behind him. True, even now it is not very easy. Quite recently the press has reported that Aslan is suspected of taking part in match-fixing.
Karatsev has lost three times in his last five matches against left-handers.
Gaston faced Nikoloz Basilashvili (7-6, 3-0, walkover) on Tuesday. Hugo was 2-4 down in the first set, but he battled back and took the set on a tie-break.
In the second set, Nikoloz withdrew because of an injury. Thus, Gaston was also a bit lucky.
Gaston’s main success so far this season has been reaching the third round of Roland Garros.
Gaston also reached the third round at the Masters in Miami and the quarter-finals in ‘s-Hertogenbosch.
Gaston has won four of his last six meetings against higher-ranked opponents.
In 3 of Karatsev’s last 4 matches, more than 9.5 games have been played in the first set. We offer to bet on “1st Set Games – Over 9.5” with odds of 1.84.
Type of Court – Clay
Speed of Court – 4/10
Karatsev’s Rating – 40
Aslan Karatsev Wins/Losses in 2022 – 11/16
Gaston’s Rating – 58
Hugo Gaston Wins/Losses in 2022 – 12/18
Two years earlier, Gaston defeated Karatsev (6-3, 1-6, 6-1) at Pau Challenger.
The match will be played at Center Court, Bastad Tennis Stadium, Bastad, Sweden.
We recommend checking out the odds for Swedish Open: Karatsev vs Gaston at Sportsbet.io and VBet.