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Alaves vs Sevilla – Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 04/03/22, Team News and Lineups

15:03, 3 March 2022
Narek Hartyunan
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Alaves vs Sevilla predictions for this Liga Santander clash on Friday at Mendizorroza Stadium. Sevilla continue their fight for the league title, this matchday they face Alaves, who are currently in the danger zone. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

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Bookmaker Ratings prediction one – Away Win – 1.88 

Bookmaker Ratings prediction two –  Under 1.5 Total match goals – 2.62 

Bookmaker Ratings prediction three – Handicap Draw Alaves +1 goal – 3.50 

Match Predict – Away Win

Sevilla are the third best away team in the competition and their need to get the three points to follow Real Madrid in the fight for the league title forces them to go out and win this game, that need to win seems to us key to see them as favourites, apart from the fact that they are a better team overall than Alaves.

Under 1.5 Total match goals

Sevilla have only scored 11 goals in 13 away games so far, while Alaves have only conceded 15 goals in 13 home games, so we think it will be a tight, low-scoring game.

Handicap Draw Alaves +1 goal

As we think that Sevilla could win by a minimal difference in the score, we think it would be a good Handicap to add a goal to Alaves so that the match could end in a draw.

Preliminary review and match prediction for Alaves vs Sevilla

In Alaves’ last five matches there has been a clear difference between their performances in the first half and in the second half, and that is that in those five matches they have not conceded a single goal in the first 45 minutes of the match, while in the following 45 minutes they have conceded ten goals in those same matches. Too much weakness in the key moments of the match.

Following on from the above, 29 of the 44 goals that Alaves have conceded so far have come in the second half, which is far too many and shows that this team is very weak in the second half, due to a lack of physical resistance, among other reasons.

Alaves maintain an average number of shots per game of 10.58, while the average number of shots on target is 4.08 per game.

Sevilla have conceded just two goals in their last four games, and considering that they have been playing with many injured players in that area of the pitch all season, it is impressive that they are the team that concede the least, with 18 goals conceded in 26 games.

So far this season, Sevilla have only conceded four goals between the 51st and 90th minutes of the match, which is very difficult to achieve, as these are the minutes in which teams are usually the most vulnerable defensively, although this does not seem to be the case for Sevilla.

Safe Bets

Alaves’ home games average 1.92 total goals per game, while Sevilla’s away games average 1.39 total goals, so we find it very likely that this game will end with less than 2.5 total goals. This bet has odds of 1.57 at William Hill.

Alaves vs Sevilla Team News

Alaves will be without Mamadou Loum for this match due to suspension.

? @edgarmendez9 #AlavésSevillaFC #GoazenGlorioso ? pic.twitter.com/loCZFH6BLR

— Deportivo Alavés (@Alaves)

For Sevilla, Suso Fernández, Érik Lamela, Papu Gómez, Karim Rekik and Anthony Martial are out through injury.

Headings: BR Team Tips
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