According to William Hill, the favourites for the Supercup, which will take place at Dortmund’s Signal Iduna Park, are the team from Munich. The odds on Carlo Ancelotti, who replaced Pep Guardiola this summer, leading his side to victory in normal time are around the 7/5 mark, whilst Borussia Dortmund are rated as a 19/10 chance. The draw can be backed at a general price of 12/5.
The probability of the Bavarians getting their hands on the trophy (including extra time and penalties) is said to be around 1/2, whilst the chances of Dortmund’s black and yellow ribbons being on the trophy at the end are rated at 81/50.
Analysts expect this match to be high a scoring one with ‘Under 2.5 goals’ total rated at 21/20 whilst ‘Over 2.5 goals’ is priced in at 7/10.
In terms of exact scoring, the most likely outcome is said to be a 1-1 draw which you can get for odds of 13/2. A 2-1 win for Munich gives a healthy return at 8/1.
The most likely scorer for Bayern is considered to be Polish striker Robert Lewandowski, and the big man can be backed to find the net at 21/20. Behind him are Thomas Muller (3/2) and American winger Julian Green (19/10). Dortmund’s most likely goalscorer, according to the early betting, is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (137/100) with Marco Reus (2/1), Adrian Ramos (11/5) and Ousmane Dembele (11/5) all behind him.
These clubs contested the German Supercup three times in a row from 2012 to 2014. In 2012, Bayern came out on top before Dortmund secured the prize the following two seasons. And the Black Yellows have won the Supercup more than any other team with five victories to their name.