QPR v Brighton Betting Tips: Seagulls to keep the pressure on at the top

Apr 06 2017
Apr 06 2017
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These two sides have arguably achieved their aims for the season with Queens Park Rangers seemingly safe for another year whilst Brighton are looking good for promotion.

Queens Park Rangers were one of the most in form teams in the Championship until recently but two losses on the bounce has put a stop to that run. However, having reached the valuable 50 point mark, they will more than likely be playing in this division next season.

Rangers’ performance in both boxes has been very much roles reversed from earlier on in the season. Instead of scoring few but also conceding few, they now score a decent number of goals but have a bad habit of letting them in at the other end. This is demonstrated by the fact they have scored nine in their last six but also kept just one clean sheet in that time. However, it must also be pointed out that they have not scored in the two aforementioned losses which perhaps raises questions over their ability to find the back of the net against the better teams – a bad sign going into this match against high flying Brighton.

Ian Holloway’s side have been absolutely brilliant at home in the last few games having notched four consecutive wins, scoring an impressive 11 goals in the process. Having said that, as stated earlier, there are big question marks at the back and these are particularly evident at Loftus Road with QPR conceding in each of their last 14 matches at home in all competitions. This poor defensive form at home stretches all the way back to mid-October.

Brighton pushed themselves back into top spot on Tuesday night with a convincing 3-1 victory over Birmingham City. They may not have been fantastic on the night but were clinical in their finishing and did a professional job. To win so flatteringly when playing below par is a sign of a top team. They may have dropped down a place thanks to Newcastle’s win over Burton Albion on Wednesday but, with ten points still between them and 3rd, they will more than likely be making their Premier League debuts next year.

Defensive stability has been the bedrock of the Seagulls’ success this season and they have conceded just 34 goals in 40 games whilst they have also kept a clean sheet in half of those matches – more than any other team in the division. However, as pointed out earlier, they know how to get the job done which means lethal finishing. Chris Hughton’s men have the third-best goal-scoring record in the league and have found the back of the net seven times in their last four games.

One thing that will worry Hughton going into this match is his side’s away form. The Seagulls do have the third-best away record in the league, however, they have not won back-to-back away matches since end of December/beginning of January. Brighton have also lost two of their last three on the road.

Although Brighton have been a bit dodgy on their travels recently, they really should have the quality to beat QPR here. Rangers are good at home but Brighton have the better quality, particularly at the back. If Brighton score here, which I expect they will, it’s hard to see them faltering. Backing the away win at 23/20 is worthwhile.

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