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Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Marin Cilic: Prediction and Betting Tips

07:30, Jul 26 2021
Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Marin Cilic prediction for the Olympics 1/16 finals at Ariake Tennis Park in Tokyo. Sixth seed Carreno-Busta of Spain will face world number 36 Marin Cilic in the fifth meeting between the players. Read on for our free prediction and betting tips.

Pablo Carreno-Busta entering the Olympics in good form

This will be Pablo Carreno-Busta’s first appearance in the Olympics. The Spaniard had a flying start to his campaign after beating Tennys Sandgren in straight sets in the 1/32 round. Carreno- Busta is in great form recently having won the ATP tournament in Hambourg last week.

The World number 11 is on a 24-9 win/loss record this year. Carreno-Busta has a 4-3 record on hard courts this year playing in just three tournaments the ATP Cup, Australian Open, and Dubai. In the match against Sandgren, Carreno- Busta had 81% of his first serves in which is a very high percentage considering he is 67% during the year.

Carreno-Busta Key Stats

  • The first serve points percentage won by Carreno-Busta on hard courts this year is 70.5%
  • The average number of games played per match by Carreno-Busta is 24.1
  • Carreno-Busta has served 4.1 aces per match

Marin Cilic needs to improve after a hard-fought first-round match

Playing in his fourth Olympics, Marin Cilic has a 7-4 win/loss record and his best result was reaching the round of 32 in Rio. Cilic won his first tournament in Stuttgart last month after a three-year drought. The 32-year-old Croatian has a 20-12 record this year with his best results being on grass. On the hard courts Cilic is 4-4.

The first-round match against Brazilian Joao Menezes was the most interesting and dramatic so far in the Olympics. After losing the first set, Cilic was down 3-5 with the Brazilian serving for the match. Four games in a row saw Cilic win the set and tie the match. In the third, Marin was up 5-0 before Menezes made an incredible comeback and saved 10 match points. Cilic eventually won in a tie break.

Cilic key Stats

  • Cilic has played 25.2 games per match this year on hard courts
  • The first serve percentage of Cilic is 57%
  • The second serve points won by Cilic is 47%

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Marin Cilic Prediction

Marin Cilic has won all four meetings between these two. The last match was in 2018, on the hard courts of Cincinnati. Carreno Busta is in much better form now and his commanding first-round win against Sandgren was good proof.

Marin Cilic’s best results were on the grass this season where he took advantage of his serve. Cilic looked shaky in his first match against Menezes who is 217 in the world. The Croatian was serving just 54% and was broken four times during the course of the match.

Looking at the average games they played this year, the under 26.5 games bet at Vbet with odds of 1.53 seems a very probable outcome.

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Marin Cilic Betting Tips

Under 26.5 Games 1.53 at Vbet

Over 2.5 Total Sets 2.43 at Vbet

 

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