Millwall v Walsall Betting Tips: Could be little between this pair at The Den

Jan 30 2017

This League One match is between two sides who currently find themselves rather stranded in midtable but will believe that their recent results give them a relatively good chance of reaching the play-offs.

Millwall claimed the first of the three FA Cup shocks we saw on Sunday by beating Premier League outfit Watford 1-0 to claim their second top flight scalp of the season – also securing a 21/10 winning tip! However, it is not just in the cup where things have gone well as they are currently on a six-match unbeaten run in the league, placing them in 10th and just five points off the play-offs. If Neil Harris’s team can keep up this level of form, there is no doubt they will be up there come the end of the season.

As I said in my tip for Sunday’s match, the stats imply that Millwall matches involve a lot of goals but, once again, their 1-0 victory against Watford showed that they are now getting better at the back and are able to secure results in that all-important less fashionable style.

Watford found it tough at The Den on Sunday but they are by no means the first to do so and probably will not be the last this season. Neil Harris’s side have been excellent at home, recording five victories on the bounce, scoring 11 and conceding just two.

Despite having one of the lowest budgets in the league, Walsall are once again punching above their weight. There are still a fair number of fans who are calling for the head of boss Jon Whitney but it is fair to say that results have improved lately and, thanks to a run of just one defeat in seven league matches, they are now just seven points off the play-offs with 54 points still to play for – more than doable.

Defence has been the main problem for the Saddlers so far this season having conceded 38 goals in 28 matches and they rely on their attacking players to outscore the opposition in order to achieve results. Luckily, this has been the case for Walsall in the last few matches as they have achieved two victories in their last three, scoring an astonishing 10 goals in the process. However, last weekend’s 3-3 draw against relegation-threatened Bury showed that they cannot afford to simply rely on their attacking players.

Jon Whitney’s side have been pretty good on the road this season having yielded 16 points from 14 matches whilst they have also lost just two of their last 13 games away from the Banks’s Stadium. Unfortunately though, they draw too many matches and have ultimately found wins on their travels hard to come by.

Interestingly, Walsall seem to hold back their attacking play away from home and prior to that 3-3 draw at Bury had scored just three goals in their last five away matches in all competitions.

Millwall have been made the favourites here given their recent home form while the fact that they will be buoyed by that win against Watford will also been factored into their price. However, this match against Walsall could prove to be a tougher task for the Lions than those FA Cup matches.

It is also interesting to note that the Lions drew both of their matches in between those two FA Cup ties so Walsall will take hope from that. Furthermore, the Saddler’s away form and defensive record on the road is nothing to be sniffed at.

With the above in mind, I get the feeling that, with this being very much an ‘after the Lord Mayor’s show’ affair for Millwall, we could be in for a rather drab match and a draw would not be at all surprising. After all, this is  a very common theme for Walsall this season. At odds of 3/1, backing these two to be all-square when they leave the pitch on Wednesday night is the way to go.

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