Matteo Berrettini vs Felix Auger Aliassime: Prediction and Betting Tips

01:30, Aug 20 2021
Matteo Berrettini vs Felix Auger Aliassime prediction for Friday’s Western and Southern Tennis Open showdown at Linden Family Tennis Center in Cincinnati. Number five seed Matteo Berrettini will face the eighth seed Felix Auger Aliassime in a repeat of their Wimbledon clash last month. You can follow our free prediction and betting tips on this page.

Matteo Berrettini needs to improve in his next matches

For over a month Matteo Berrettini hasn’t played in any tournament. His last match was in the Wimbledon final where he lost to Novak Djokovic. In reality, that was the Italian’s best performance in a Grand Slam tournament so far in his career. However, after a long break, Berrettini looked a bit rusty as he needed three sets to get past Ramos-Vinolas

Despite losing the first set in a tie break in which both players had incredible service percentages, Berrettini fought back. The world number eight took the second set after breaking his opponent’s serve in the sixth game. Furthermore, it was the 25-year-old who got the only break of the third set. In the end, Berrettini wrapped the match up with a 7-5 third set win.

Berrettini Key Points

  • Berrettini won 80.4% of the points behind his first serve
  • The Italian won eight of his ten matches on hard courts this year
  • The eighth seed has played 23.2 games per match on hard courts this season

Felix Auger Aliassime 

In just under three hours, Felix Auger Aliassime eliminated Karen Khachanov in a marathon match. Like his opponent, Aliassime lost the first set in a tiebreak. However, the Canadian improved his first serve percentage from 58% in the first to 82% in the second set. Moreover, the eighth seed faced just one breakpoint on his serve in the entire match and saved it.

Although that win will boost the Canadian’s morale, his season on the hard courts was mediocre. To demonstrate, the world number 16 has an 11-8 win/loss record. Also, he hasn’t gone past the second round of the last three tournaments he played on hard courts. Clearly, Aliassime’s favorite surface is the grass, still, he can pose major difficulties to his opponents on the cement.

Aliassime Key Points

  • Aliassime won 77% of the points on his first serve on hard courts this year
  • The Canadian saved 54% of the breakpoints on his serve
  • The eighth seed played on average 23.1 games per match

Matteo Berrettini vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction 

This will be the third meeting between the two players with Berrettini edging 2-0. The last match was in Wimbledon last month and the Italian triumphed 3-1. After that defeat, Aliassime played in three tournaments on hard courts while this is Berrettini’s first.

As a result, the Italian looked out of context in the first match as his service came to the rescue. Berrettini needs to be more focused on his groundstrokes and rallies. 

On the other hand, Aliassime has all the ingredients to battle and register his first win against Berrettini. However, he also is committing too many unforced errors and needs to regroup.

In conclusion, we think both players will show great fighting spirit and make it another close match with a high number of games. The total breaks market at Vbet is offering odds of 2.00 for under 3.5 breaks and we will back that.

Matteo Berrettini vs Felix Auger Aliassime Betting Tips

Over 22.5 Games 1.72 at Vbet

Under 3.5 Breaks 2.00 at Vbet

Single: Lost
01:30/20 aug
Matteo Berrettini vs Felix Auger Aliassime
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Single: Lost
01:30/20 aug
Matteo Berrettini vs Felix Auger Aliassime
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