Leicester City v AFC Bournemouth Betting Tips: Foxes to bounce back on final day

May 19 2017
May 19 2017
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Leicester, who are yet to make a decision on the future of current manager Craig Shakespeare, lost their second consecutive match on Thursday night as they went down 1-6 to Tottenham Hotspur. This looks pretty embarrassing on the face of it but Leicester played their part in an entertaining match and, in the end, Spurs were just too good for them.

The fact that the Foxes have conceded an average of four goals per game in their last two shows they have had a pretty appalling time at the back of late. However, it must also be taken into account that these two matches were against two of the best in the division and, before that, they had kept two consecutive clean sheets. A couple of plus points for Leicester in these last couple of games is that they have at least found the back of the net – a good achievement against top sides, particularly Tottenham who have the best defensive record in the league.

Thursday night’s loss was Craig Shakespeare’s first home defeat as Leicester boss and, prior to that they had won all five of the Premier League home matches he had taken charge of. Going into this match, it is well worth noting that Leicester have won eight of their nine home games against teams currently below them in the table, drawing the other one. Bournemouth may be above them at the moment but, given they are a similar standard to Leicester, the Foxes will believe they can pull off a win.

Bournemouth have been on a fantastic run of late, taking ten points from a possible 12 in their last four outings. They are currently 10th in the table and a win on Sunday will confirm a top ten Premier League finish in just their second ever season in the top flight.

Eddie Howe has always placed an emphasis on the attacking side of his teams’ performances and Bournemouth’s goal total of 54 is evidence that it works. This excellent total even betters the likes of Manchester United who have found the back of the net just 52 times. However, as you would expect from a team that enjoys going forward so much, they have been pretty atrocious at the back with 66 goals conceded – the third-worst record in the league. Even the bottom two sides Sunderland and Middlesbrough have a better defensive record than Bournemouth.

Although the Cherries have been on a fantastic run of late, this has mainly been due to the fact that they have been playing at home in most of them. By contrast, their away form has been atrocious for a long time and their victory at bottom side Sunderland was their first on their travels in eight matches in all competitions.

Even though they suffered a thrashing the other night, Leicester have a fantastic home record against sides outside of the top eight and, given Bournemouth’s poor away form, I expect the Foxes to come out on top here. Furthermore, Leicester carry a big threat at home whilst Bournemouth have a leaky defence wherever they play, hence why I have gone for ‘Leicester City to Win & Over 1.5 Goals’. 

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