Leeds v Nottingham Forest Betting Tips: Monk’s men can bounce back on home soil

Jan 24 2017

The Championship action on Wednesday night sees play-off chasing Leeds United welcome relegation-threatened Nottingham Forest to Elland Road.

These two teams have experienced contrasting fortunes so far this season. Leeds, under the stewardship of Gary Monk, have gone from strength-to-strength and, at this moment in time, are looking genuine promotion candidates. On the other hand, Forest, who’re currently under the rule of caretaker manager Gary Brazil having recently sacked Philippe Montanier, have largely struggled to compete and find themselves sitting down in 19th, just five points above the drop-zone.

In front of a home crowd is where Leeds have been at their best this season and they’re strongly fancied to get back to winning ways having lost for the first time in 2017 away at Barnsley last weekend. At odds of 5/4 and 2/1 respectively, ‘Leeds to Win & Over 1.5 Goals’ and ‘Leeds to Win to Nil’ are two bets worth placing.

As touched on above, the Yorkshire outfit have flourished on their own patch during this campaign. They’ve lost just three matches at Elland Road and just once in their last 11. They’ve won nine of their 14 home matches overall, including each of their last five. Monk’s side have also kept five clean sheets on the spin at home, as well as finding the opposition net nine times during that spell.

As is to be expected with a team who’re down in 19th position, Nottingham Forest have failed to pick up wins with any sort of regularity whether it be home or away, but it is definitely on the road where they have really struggled. Having played 14 matches away from the City Ground, Forest have won just twice and have lost nine of their other 12, including four of their last five.

The visiting side aren’t necessarily the worst team going forward on their day, although they have struggled to score goals recently, but at the back they’ve been a shambles. Having conceded a total of 45 goals, only bottom-of-the-table Rotherham have a worse defensive record, while only two teams in the entire division have conceded less goals than Forest on their travels. Considering Leeds have been in good attacking form at Elland Road in recent weeks, you have to fear for The Reds here.

The hosts have scored at least twice in three of their last five home matches, while Forest have conceded two or more in four of their last five on the road. On top of this, Leeds haven’t conceded a goal at home since Newcastle put two past them back in November.

Considering that the visitors have struggled for goals of late – they’ve scored just twice in their last five – coupled with the fact that key-defender Pontus Jansson returns from suspension for Leeds, it’s fair to say that Monk’s men have every chance of recording yet another convincing victory at Elland Road and they’re fancied to do just that.

Click here to see Wednesday’s EFL Cup tip.

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