Leeds United v Brighton Betting Tips: Seagulls to come out on top at Elland Road

Saturday’s late Championship match sees two teams going for promotion go head-to-head as play-off hopefuls Leeds United host automatic chasers Brighton.

Leeds currently sit in 4th after a run of no defeats in their last six and are five points ahead of that dreaded 7th spot. However it is certainly worth mentioning that there have probably been too many draws for Garry Monk’s liking – three.

Defensive solidity has been the backbone to the Whites’ success so far this campaign and they have the third-best Goals Against record in the Championship with just 36 conceded in 37 games – only top two sides Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion have a better record. Monk’s men have not been fantastic going forward in terms of the rest of the division with just 50 goals scored and they have also scored more than twice on just one occasion in the last two and a half months. Having said that, they have still found the back of the net more times than any of the other three teams in the play-off places.

The Whites have had a good home record this season averaging almost two points per match at Elland Road. Furthermore, they have kept eight clean sheets in their last ten games on home soil.

Brighton have recovered from two defeats on the spin to win their last couple of matches which keeps them well in the automatic promotion spots and six points clear of Huddersfield in 3rd place.

As mentioned above, Brighton have one of the best defensive records in the league, the best in fact with 31 conceded and an impressive 51% clean sheet ratio. Unsurprisingly, their last four wins have come without conceding. However, you are not in the top two if you are poor going forward and the Seagulls have been very good at the top end with 63 goals in their 37 matches. Furthermore, they have found the back of the net in all but one of their last 13 games in all competitions.

Chris Hughton’s side may have the second-best away record in the division but they are still having a somewhat difficult time on their travels of late with no back-to-back victories since late-December/mid-January. Having said that, they have kept two clean sheets in their last three away from the AMEX Stadium.

Leeds may have been undefeated for a while and have a good home record, however, Brighton are simply the better side, with more strength in depth, particularly going forward, and can come out on top here. The visitors will no doubt want to ensure that they stay inside that top two as 3rd place Huddersfield have a game in hand over them.

Furthermore, the Seagulls have won each of the last six meetings between the two. The away win is worth going for at 6/4.

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