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Fabio Fognini vs Roberto Carballes Baena: Prediction and Betting Tips

11:30, Jul 15 2021
Fabio Fognini vs Roberto Carballes Baena prediction for Thursday’s ATP Bastad Open clash at Bastad in Sweden. World number 31 Fabio Fognini will meet Roberto Carballes Baena who is ranked 97 in the world in the ⅛ finals of the Bastad Open. Read on for our free prediction and betting tips.

Fabio Fognini to use his experience to overcome his opponent

It hasn’t been a good season for Fabio Fognini especially on clay. The Italian played 17 matches on the red dirt this year and won seven. His best result came in Monaco where he reached the fourth round and lost to Casper Ruud. in the year’s only Grand Slam on clay Fognini was eliminated in the third round by Delbonis.

The 34-year-old had won the title in Bastad in 2018, he had beaten a host of clay-court specialists on his way to winning the title like Delbonis, Verdasco, and Gasquet in the final. 

Fognini has been one of the best players on tour but his temper has failed him on many occasions. He can be his own enemy if things go wrong for him but he has the experience now to refocus during the matches.

Fognini Key stats

  • Fognini has played 21.2 games per match on clay this year
  • Fognini has won 51.3% of the breakpoints on clay this year
  • The first serve percentage by Fognini is 64% on clay

Roberto Carballes Baena needs to be at his best to trouble Fognini

Having the best record of his career on clay, Roberto Carballes Baena can be a tough opponent on this surface. The Spaniard has a 47-50 career win-loss record on clay. His only title was winning the tournament in Quito in 2018 after beating Albert Ramos in the final.

Carballes Baena’s best result in Bastad was in 2019 when he reached the quarter-finals and lost to Albert Ramos in three sets. He has a 21- 10 win-loss record on clay this year.

He won his first-round match in Bastad beating Bagnis in two sets. Despite the result of 6-2 6-4, Carballes Baena’s serve was broken twice after winning just 33% of the points on his second serve.

Carballes Baena Key Stats

  • Baena has played 21 games per match on clay this year
  • The second serve points won by Baena is 48.1% 
  • Baena has won 48.9% of the total games he’s played

Fabio Fognini vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction

Fognini is the favorite to win this match with odds of 1.68 at Vbet. Carballes Baena i not far off with 2.23. The reason for that is Baena’s better form on clay this year.

Fognini has much more experience and we think he won’t find trouble coming through this match. The Italian has been in the top ten and knows how to finish this kind of match.

Baena has very strong groundstrokes but tends to rush through his points and commit many unforced errors. The Spaniard has to be focused and patient to pose any danger in this match.

We predict Fognini to win.

Fabio Fognini vs Roberto Carballes Baena Betting Tips

Fognini to win 1.68 at Vbet

Over 19.5 games 1.47 at Vbet

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11:30/15 jul
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