Bayern Munich – Juventus. Mark O’Haire’s prediction

19:45, Mar 16 2016
19:45, Mar 16 2016
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Bayern Munich will have been kicking themselves after throwing away a two-goal advantage in the first leg in Turin three weeks ago. Pep Guardiola’s men were in total control but a sloppy final half hour allowed Juventus to level the tie thanks to a stirring fightback.

The balance of power still sits firmly in Bayern’s camp and I’d expect the Bavarians to show their teeth at the Allianz Arena.

FC Hollywood tend to produce their most dominating performances in front of their home supporters and with nine wins on the spin in Champions League competition as hosts (by an aggregate 36-4); it’s hard to oppose Bayern.

Of those aforementioned nine victories, Bayern kept clean sheets in six with Barcelona the only side to manage to score twice in that time. And Pep’s charges have enjoyed the highest possession (71%) average, the most shots, the most efforts on-target and the highest number of goals in the 2015/16 tournament.

Bayern have W17-D0-L1 in their 18 games across all competitions at the Allianz Arena this term, scoring at least four goals in nine of those fixtures and keeping their sheets clean on 12 occasions. The hosts are understandably second favourites to go the distance.

With Juventus missing three of their crucial standout spine in Giorgio Chiellini, Claudio Marchisio and Paulo Dybala, the Turin travellers may struggle to make their mark in Munich. The Old Lady have embarked on a stunning W18-D1-L0 run in Serie A action, churning out 10 consecutive shutouts, but their Champions League form shows just four successes in 11 and only one in five as guests.

Thirteen of Bayern’s 21 Champions League goals have been shared between Thomas Muller (six) and Robert Lewandowsi (seven) with both forwards on target at the weekend.

With the latter now notching 34 goals this season and Bayern plundering an eye-watering 53 goals in front of their home supporters this season – an average of 2.94 per-game – I’m keen to take a goals approach.

Lewandowsi has scored 21 of his 34 goals (62%) in 17 matches at the Allianz Arena, meaning the Polish hitman is averaging 1.23 goals-per-game on home soil. It’s a phenomenal scoring rate which makes the 2.05 on Lewandowsi to score in a Bayern win most appealing here.

Single: Lost
Champions League
19:45/16 mar
Bayern Munich - Juventus
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