Arsenal vs Brighton: Prediction and Betting Tips

Arsenal aiming for a miracle to save their season

Arsenal have a last chance to save their season. The Gunners must win and wait for the defeat of both Everton and Tottenham to clinch seventh place and play in the Europa Conference League. It has been another disappointing Premier League season for Mikel Arteta’s team as they haven’t been able to challenge for a top-four finish as was the case for many years.

Arsenal have lost seven home games this season, and have picked 25 points out of a possible 54 at the Emirates. This home form was the main reason for Arsenal’s failure this term. The Gunners haven’t lost the final match of the season since 2005 winning 13 and drawing two. Coming into this match Arteta saw his team win their last four matches. Their defeat to Everton before that run proved to be crucial as a win in that match could have put the Gunners in seventh place now.

A best-ever PL finish a possibility for Brighton

A great comeback in their last match to beat crowned champions Manchester City means Brighton had their first win against a top-four team this season. With a win at the Emirates, The Seagulls have the chance to finish at their best ever Premier League finish,14th.

Brighton have more away wins than at home with five. Three of those wins came with clean sheets.  Graham Potter’s team is winless in four away games though, losing three of them after going ahead in two of those three losses. They visit Emirates for the season’s final game following a two-match unbeaten run both at home, scoring an average of two goals per game.

Key Stats

• Both teams scored in Arsenal’s two of the last five games
• Arsenal have scored in three of their last five home matches
• Brighton have scored in three of their last five away matches
• Both teams have scored in Brighton’s last three of five away matches

Arsenal vs Brighton prediction

Considering their form in the last four matches, Arsenal should not face any trouble in beating Brighton. But in order to play in Europe next season though, they have to wait for Everton’s and Tottenham’s results. 

Looking at the betting markets, it is interesting to see that an Arsenal win pays 1.61 which is quite high. Over 2.5 goals pays 1.70 and the probability for that to happen according to both teams’ statistics is 53%. 

We think Arsenal will do everything they can to win and improve their H2H meeting record with Brighton that saw the Gunners win just one of their last six games.

Arsenal vs Brighton Betting Tips

Home Win 1.61 at William Hill

Over 2.5 goals 1.70 William Hill